{"id":4187,"date":"2020-11-27T10:07:26","date_gmt":"2020-11-27T09:07:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/?p=4187"},"modified":"2021-01-19T00:24:25","modified_gmt":"2021-01-18T23:24:25","slug":"lira-session-konstantin-genin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/2020\/11\/lira-session-konstantin-genin\/","title":{"rendered":"LIRa session: Konstantin Genin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Speaker: Konstantin Genin (<a href=\"https:\/\/uni-tuebingen.de\/en\/research\/core-research\/cluster-of-excellence-machine-learning\/research\/research\/cluster-research-groups\/research-groups\/epistemology-and-ethics-of-ml\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/uni-tuebingen.de\/en\/research\/core-research\/cluster-of-excellence-machine-learning\/research\/research\/cluster-research-groups\/research-groups\/epistemology-and-ethics-of-ml\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1607362140248000&amp;usg=AFQjCNG-lIKeE6dKEC6rVcfiatLsEp2J7w\">Research Group: Epistemology and Ethics of Machine Learning<\/a>\u00a0in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/uni-tuebingen.de\/en\/research\/core-research\/cluster-of-excellence-machine-learning\/home\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/uni-tuebingen.de\/en\/research\/core-research\/cluster-of-excellence-machine-learning\/home\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1607362140248000&amp;usg=AFQjCNH4Dt5dKtP0e8EK-JkjSVOuShTDSQ\">Cluster of Excellence \u2013 Machine Learning for Science<\/a> at the University of T\u00fcbingen)<\/p>\n<p>Date and Time: Thursday, December&nbsp;10th 2020, 16:30-18:00, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.timeanddate.com\/time\/zone\/netherlands\/amsterdam\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Amsterdam time<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Venue: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/guidelines-for-online-sessions\/\">online<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Title: <b>Simplicity and Scientific Progress<\/b><br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Abstract. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>A major goal of twentieth-century philosophy of science was to show how science could make progress toward the truth even if, at any moment, our best theories are false. To that end, Popper and others tried to develop a theory of\u00a0<i>truthlikeness<\/i>, hoping to prove that theories get closer to the truth over time. That program encountered several notable setbacks. I propose the following: a method for answering an empirical question is\u00a0<i>progressive<\/i>\u00a0if the chance of outputting the true answer is strictly increasing with sample size. Surprisingly, many standard statistical methods are not even approximately progressive. What&#8217;s worse, many problems do not admit strictly progressive solutions. However, I prove that it is often possible to approximate progressiveness arbitrarily well.\u00a0 Furthermore, every approximately progressive method must obey a version of Ockham\u2019s razor. So it turns out that addressing the problem of progress uncovers a solution to another perennial problem: how can we give a non-circular argument for preferring simple theories when the truth may well be complex?<\/em><\/p>\n<div dir=\"ltr\">\n<p>See\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/video.uva.nl\/media\/LIRa+seminar+on+2020-12-10+by+Constantin+Genin\/0_xspyu8ku\">here<\/a>\u00a0for the recording of the talk.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Speaker: Konstantin Genin (Research Group: Epistemology and Ethics of Machine Learning\u00a0in the\u00a0Cluster of Excellence \u2013 Machine Learning for Science at the University of T\u00fcbingen)<br \/>\nDate and Time: Thursday, December&nbsp;10th 2020, 16:30-18:00, Amsterdam time.<br \/>\nVenue: online.<br \/>\nTitle: Simplicity and Scientific Progress<\/p>\n<p>Abstract.<br \/>\nA major goal of twentieth-century philosophy of science was to show how science could make progress toward the [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-events"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4187","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4187"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4187\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4241,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4187\/revisions\/4241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4187"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4187"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/projects.illc.uva.nl\/lgc\/seminar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}