On Thursday December 10th, we will have a joint LogiCIC/LIRa session with Jan Sprenger. Everyone is cordially invited!
Speaker: Jan Sprenger (Tilburg University)
Date and Time: Thursday, December 10th 2015, 16:00-17:30
Venue: Science Park 107, Room F1.15
Title: Foundations for a Theory of Causal Strength.
Abstract. Since more than 2,500 years, there has been research on the qualitative concept of causation (“Is X a cause of Y?”). The quantitative concept (“How strong is the causal link between X and Y?”) is much less understood. In this talk, I will provide axiomatic foundations for a probabilistic logic of causal strength. Then I will connect the results to measures of effect size in statistical inference and apply them to a recent case study in Dutch tort law.